class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide # Misrepresentation ##
Data Science in a Box ###
datasciencebox.org
--- layout: true <div class="my-footer"> <span> <a href="https://datasciencebox.org" target="_blank">datasciencebox.org</a> </span> </div> --- class: middle # Causality --- <img src="img/exercise-cancer-time.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .footnote[ .midi[ Alice Park. [Exercise Can Lower Risk of Some Cancers By 20%](https://time.com/4330041/reduce-cancer-risk-exercise/). Time Magazine. 16 May 2016. ] ] --- <img src="img/exercise-cancer-latimes.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .footnote[ .midi[ Melissa Healy. [Exercising drives down risk for 13 cancers, research shows ](https://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-exercising-cancer-20160516-story.html). Los Angeles Times. 16 May 2016. ] ] --- ## Original study Moore, Steven C., et al. **["Association of leisure-time physical activity with risk of 26 types of cancer in 1.44 million adults."](https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2521826)** JAMA internal medicine 176.6 (2016): 816-825. - **Volunteers** were **asked** about their physical activity level over the preceding year. - Half exercised less than about 150 minutes per week, half exercised more. - Compared to the bottom 10% of exercisers, the top 10% had lower rates of esophageal, liver, lung, endometrial, colon, and breast cancer. - Researchers found no association between exercising and 13 other cancers (e.g. pancreatic, ovarian, and brain). .footnote[ .midi[ Carl Bergstrom and Jevin West. [Calling Bullshit: The art of skepticism in a data-driven world](https://www.callingbullshit.org/). Random House, 2020. Sharon Begley. ["Does exercise prevent cancer?"](https://www.statnews.com/2016/05/16/exercise-prevent-cancer/). StatNews. 16 May 2016. ] ] --- class: middle # Axes and scale --- .question[ What is the difference between these two pictures? Which presents a better way to represent these data? ] <img src="img/axis-start-at-0.png" width="80%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .footnote[ .midi[ Christopher Ingraham. ["You’ve been reading charts wrong. Here’s how a pro does it."](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/10/14/youve-been-reading-charts-wrong-heres-how-pro-does-it/). The Washington Post. 14 October 2019. ] ] --- .question[ What is wrong with this picture? How would you correct it? ] <img src="img/cost_of_gas.png" width="70%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- .pull-left-wide[ <img src="u3-d01-misrepresentation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-6-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .pull-right-narrow[ <img src="img/cost_of_gas.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- .question[ What is wrong with this picture? How would you correct it? ] <img src="img/ga-dph-declining-bars.jpg" width="75%" style="display: block; margin: auto auto auto 0;" /> --- ## Graph detective .center[ <iframe width="900" height="450" src="https://livefreeordichotomize.com/2020/05/17/graph-detective/" frameborder="0"></iframe> ] .footnote[ .midi[ Lucy D'Agostino McGowan. [Graph detective](https://livefreeordichotomize.com/2020/05/17/graph-detective/). Live Free or Dichotomize. 17 May 2020. ] ] --- class: middle # Maps and areas --- .question[ Do you recognize this map? What does it show? ] <img src="img/election-2016-county.png" width="60%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> -- .footnote[ .midi[ Lazaro Gamio. ["Election maps are telling you big lies about small things"](https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/2016-election/how-election-maps-lie/). The Washington Post. 1 Nov 2016. ] ] --- .pull-left[ <img src="img/citizens-for-trump.png" width="60%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] -- .pull-right[ <img src="img/counties-for-trump.png" width="60%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .footnote[ .midi[ Alberto Cairo. [Visual Trumpery talk](https://visualtrumperytour.wordpress.com/). ] ] --- <img src="img/cairo-vote-percentages.png" width="65%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .footnote[ .midi[ Alberto Cairo. [Visual Trumpery talk](https://visualtrumperytour.wordpress.com/). ] ] --- <img src="img/cairo-what-matters.png" width="900" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .footnote[ .midi[ Alberto Cairo. [Visual Trumpery talk](https://visualtrumperytour.wordpress.com/). ] ] --- class: middle # Visualising uncertainty --- On December 19, 2014, the front page of Spanish national newspaper El País read *"Catalan public opinion swings toward 'no' for independence, says survey"*. <img src="u3-d01-misrepresentation_files/figure-html/catalan-misleading-1.png" width="60%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .footnote[ .midi[ Alberto Cairo. [The truthful art: Data, charts, and maps for communication](http://www.thefunctionalart.com/p/the-truthful-art-book.html). New Riders, 2016. ] ] --- .pull-left-wide[ <img src="u3-d01-misrepresentation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-15-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .pull-right-narrow[ <img src="u3-d01-misrepresentation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-16-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .footnote[ .midi[ Alberto Cairo. ["Uncertainty and Graphicacy: How Should Statisticians Journalists and Designers Reveal Uncertainty in Graphics for Public Consumption?"](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/cros/powerfromstatistics/OR/PfS-OutlookReport-Cairo.pdf), Power from Statistics: Data Information and Knowledge, 2017. ] ] --- class: middle # Further reading --- .pull-left[ <img src="img/cairo-how-charts-lie.jpg" width="350" style="display: block; margin: auto 0 auto auto;" /> ] .pull-right[ [How Charts Lie](http://www.thefunctionalart.com/p/reviews.html) Getting Smarter about Visual Information by Alberto Cairo ] --- .pull-left[ <img src="img/calling-bullshit.png" width="350" style="display: block; margin: auto 0 auto auto;" /> ] .pull-right[ [Calling Bullshit](https://www.callingbullshit.org/) The Art of Skepticism in a Data-Driven World by Carl Bergstrom and Jevin West ]